Obama and Uribe Talk Trade and Term Limits AS/COA Online 06/30/09

Presidents Álvaro Uribe and Barack Obama met at the White House on June 29. (AP Photos)

Colombian President Álvaro Uribe met with his U.S. counterpart Barack Obama June 29 to discuss the future of the stalled free-trade agreement and Uribe’s political future. At the meeting, Obama praised Uribe’s achievements on improving security and his fight against drug cartels. The U.S. leader even joked about how difficult it would be to match Uribe’s 70 percent approval ratings after two terms in office. Still, Obama advised Uribe against running for a third consecutive presidential term and used U.S. President George Washington’s experience as an example of statesmanship: “[A]t a time when he could have stayed president for life, he made a decision that after service, he was able to step aside and return to civilian life. And that set a precedent then for the future.”

Obama’s counsel for Uribe to avoid a third term through constitutional change coincided with world attention on Honduras. A day earlier, a coup occurred in the Central American country after Honduran President Manuel Zelaya, planned to go forward with a referendum deemed illegal by the country’s main institutions. Obama expressed his support for democratically elected Zelaya and described the overthrow as “not legal.” Colombia also rejected the coup.

In Colombia, a referendum to pave the way for Uribe’s reelection still faces hurdles in Congress and already shows signs of fatigue among supporters. Cambio magazine explains that the chances to approve the legislation are slim, even with Uribe spending his political capital to move it forward. But Semana magazine says, “Uribe has radicalized his position about the referendum,” and that he sees it “as a matter of pride.”

The pending bilateral free-trade pact was also a central conversation point for the two leaders during their White House meeting. Obama offered his support for the deal but explained that concerns linger in U.S. Congress over human rights violations against Colombian labor leaders. At the summit, Uribe said that “we are very receptive to receive any advice, any suggestion that help us see how we can achieve our goals of zero human rights violations in Colombia.” After an event co-hosted by the Council of the Americas at the Wilson Center on the morning of June 30, Uribe said he had found Obama “more disposed and interested” in the trade deal. COA’s Eric Farnsworth blogs for Americas Quarterly, the two leaders’ meeting shows “that the bilateral agenda with Colombia goes well beyond passage of one agreement, as important as that is, and that the U.S.-Colombia relationship is strong and enduring.”

Learn more:

• COA Vice President Eric Farnsworth’s AQ blog post about Obama’s meetings with Uribe and Chilean President Michelle Bachelet.
• AS/COA coverage of Uribe’s dilemma about his second consecutive reelection.
• Americas Quarterly’s web exclusive about whether Uribe will seek reelection.
• Transcript of Obama-Uribe press conference following their June 29 meeting.
• Colombia’s constitution.
• Text of the pending U.S.-Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement.
• Semana analysis of U.S.-Colombia relations.

OAS Ponders Cuba’s Return AS/COA Online 05/29/09

A human rights protest in front of Havana’s capitol building. The OAS is assessing Cuba’s reentry, but Washington continues to raise rights concerns. (AP Photo)

As part of the White House’s more open approach to Cuba, the Obama administration made a move this week that could assist Havana’s readmissiont to Organization of American States (OAS). At a May 27 meeting of the Permanent Council of the OAS, the United States introduced a proposal to allow Cuba to eventually rejoin the organization. The move is in line with the warmer tone set by the Obama administration on Cuba; the White House has already eased travel and remittance restrictions for Cuban Americans and recommended restarting bilateral immigration talks. But Washington has indicated that Havana must adhere to the rules set out Inter-American Democratic Charter to gain readmission. It remains to be seen if Cuba will reciprocate by taking steps toward addressing political freedom and human rights issues.

Honduran and Nicaraguan delegations also submitted resolutions to pave the way for Cuba to rejoin. Costa Rica had intended to submit a plan, but one from the U.S. State Department replaced that country’s proposal, reports The Miami Herald. The OAS commissioned a working group to start deliberations based on the proposals and report back to the OAS General Assembly, which convenes in San Pedro Sula, Honduras, on June 2 and 3. The working group is expected to use the proposals “to find a consensus text for an eventual resolution on Cuba.”

The State Department’s decision to submit a proposal comes after the Fifth Summit of the Americas, when a number of hemispheric leaders called for Washington to improve relations with Cuba. Last week, U.S. Senator and Ranking Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee  Richard Lugar (R-IN) said he does not believe Havana should gain instant readmission into the OAS without addressing rights issues, but that Washington must recognize concerns held by other countries at next week’s OAS summit. “There should be a way to harmonize the desire of many of our Latin American allies to reintegrate Cuba into the Inter-American system with the United States’ interest in reforming our policy towards Cuba,” said the senator.

At a May 27 press briefing, U.S. Department of State Spokesman Ian Kelly said the proposal submitted to the OAS “supports the OAS taking steps to initiate a dialogue with Cuba regarding its eventual reintegration into the inter-American system.” Still, the Obama administration has stated that Havana must abide by the OAS Inter-American Democratic Charter to gain readmission. “Any effort to admit Cuba into the OAS is really in Cuba’s hands,” Secretary of State Hillary Clinton told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on May 20. “They have to be willing to take the concrete steps necessary to meet those principles.” She made similar statements at COA’s Washington Conference on May 13. “We look forward to the day when every country in the Americas, including Cuba, can participate in our hemispheric partnerships in a manner that is consistent with the principles of the Inter-American Democratic Charter.”

At the same conference, Senator Robert Menendez (D-NJ) decried the idea of bringing Cuba back into the OAS fold without a dramatic improvement in human rights and democracy on the island. “For the OAS to readmit a regime that engages in this type of systematic suppression of human rights, it would have to rip up its Democratic Charter as a farce.” He also suggested that Washington cuts U.S. funding to the OAS in the case that it allow Havana to rejoin without undertaking democratic moves.

So far, Cuba has not indicated interest in rejoining. Earlier this week, Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez said Havana was proud that it did not belong to the OAS, saying: “[T]he OAS is totally anachronistic; it serves other interests, and we feel that our path, Cuba’s path, is one of Latin American and Caribbean integration, without a presence from outside the continent.” However, just before Cuban President Raúl Casto hinted at a willingness to discuss human rights matters with the United States.

Writing for Americas Quarterly’s blog, AS/COA’s Senior Director of Policy Christopher Sabatini writes that, for the Obama administration, it is “better to try to loosen some elements of isolation to further what is the crux of U.S. policy towards the region: supporting the development of independent civil society and improvement in human rights on the island.”

In an AS/COA interview, OAS Secretary General José Miguel Insulza voiced support for overturning the 1962 resolution that ejected Cuba as a member country from the OAS. He also explains that if that happens, it would be just the first of many steps toward Cuba’s full reinstatement.

Listen to the audio of as AS/COA panel discussion on the Cuban diaspora.

View the article as originally published at the AS/COA website.

Washington Weighs Cuba Travel Bans AS/COA Online 04/09/09

Cubans await family members arriving from Miami. (AP Photo)

Updated April 13 – A trip by seven members of the Congressional Black Caucus to Havana put U.S.-Cuban relations in the spotlight as hemispheric leaders prepared to meet at the Summit of the Americas. The delegation, led by U.S. Representative Barbara Lee (D-CA), met with the Castro brothers in separate meetings, marking the first official U.S. visits since President Raúl Castro took office last year and for former President Fidel Castro since 2006.

The visit came just before as President Barack Obama turned back restrictions (read a White House fact sheet) for Cuban Americans wishing to visit or send money to family back on the island. Fulfilling a presidential campaign promise, Obama took the action before the Summit of the Americas, which runs April 17 to 19 in Trinidad and Tobago and will serve as the new president’s introduction to many Latin American leaders and, thereby, the hemisphere. Relaxing the restrictions could affect an estimated 1.5 million Americans with family members in Cuba, calculates The Wall Street Journal. El País reports that Cubans hopes to experience an increased inflow of somewhere between $300 million and $500 million as a result of the change.

The changes will also allow U.S. telecommunications firms to bid for licenses on the island as well as for a freer flow of humanitarian goods.

American legislators have gone a step further. Bipartisan proposals making their way through both houses of U.S. Congress seek to lift the travel ban for all Americans. Senators Byron Dorgan (D-ND) and Michael Enzi (R-WY) introduced the Freedom to Travel to Cuba Act. A similar bill in the House drew 120 co-sponsors and calls for allowing Americans “to exercise their right to travel to Cuba.” Another House bill seeks to ease restrictions on selling agricultural products to Cuba.

Washington’s moves on Cuba could end up being a focal point at the Summit, much to the chagrin of the White House. “In a way, we believe it would be unfortunate if the principal theme of this meeting turned out to be Cuba,” says Ambassador Jeffrey Davidow, the White House advisor for the summit. Yet, as The Economist suggests in an article about the upcoming conference, the uninvited Cuba could end up being the 800-pound gorilla in the room.

Latin American leaders expressed their support to end the 47-year-old U.S. embargo in a December summit held in Brazil. “I am unable to understand the continued blockade of Cuba. It doesn’t make any sense,” said Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Reinstatement of Cuba into the Organization of American states (Havana was suspended in 1962) could be another proposal that comes up in Port of Spain. “It has turned out that we are the isolated country,” said Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (D-MO) after returning from Cuba on Tuesday.

Some of the warm steps from Washington have drawn optimism in Havana, including from Fidel. In his weekly column, the octogenarian former leader detailed his meeting with the U.S. lawmakers and hailed the visit, making reference to the historical nature of Obama’s electoral win.

But human rights on the island remains a thorny issue, prompting criticism of the congressional delegation to Cuba. A Washington Post editorial decries that fact that lawmakers didn’t meet with political dissidents in jail or visit their families. “The black U.S. lawmakers’ concerns weren’t for the 300-plus Cuban prisoners of conscience listed by Amnesty International or the hundreds of dissidents working from their homes under the watch of a totalitarian regime,” writes Miami Herald columnist Myriam Marquez.

With all the buzz about U.S.-Cuban ties and power shifts in Havana, are changes underfoot in Cuba? As one man interviewed in Havana put it to the New York Times, “Politics here is a sport whose spectators are all blind. Everyone knows things are happening. No one is sure what. So you stop trying to watch.”

Read AS/COA analysis of the recent reshuffling of Raúl Castro’s cabinet.

Read the article as originally published at the AS/COA website.

Bogotá-Quito Ties Still Run Cold AS/COA Online 03/05/09

Ecuadorian soldiers fly over a border area close to Colombia. (AP Photo)

Diplomatic relations between Bogota and Quito remain broken a year after a border standoff. A March 2008 raid by Colombian authorities on a guerilla camp took out the second of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) in command and more than 20 others. The attack, made on Ecuadorian territory, also spurred a military buildup by Quito and Caracas on their Colombian borders. Within weeks, the threat of conflict was defused. Still, squabbles continue between Colombia, Ecuador, and Venezuela, even with mediation by the Organization of American States (OAS).

In recent remarks, Colombian Defense Minister Juan Manuel Santos justified the raid as an act of legitimate defense, sparking controversy in both Quito and Bogota. President Álvaro Uribe responded by reprimanding the minister. Santos’ strong statements led some to wonder if they serve as an indicator of his intention to run in next year’s presidential election.

Yet Santos’ remarks did little to curry favor in Ecuador. In an interview with RCN Radio, Ecuadorian Vice President Lenín Moreno said that “it is very difficult” to normalize bilateral relations given Santos’ declarations. The comments drew the ire of Caracas as well; the Venezuelan government issued a statement about the remarks, saying that they threaten the stability and sovereignty of countries in the region.

Meanwhile, Ecuador’s Foreign Minister Fander Falconí criticized Uribe’s government for failing to handle the question of displaced people seeking refuge in and near Ecuador. The Office of the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) oversees a refugee registration project launched by Quito in December. The UNHCR estimates that some 20,000 refugees live in Ecuador but that as many as 130,00 could need international protection. Additionally, the government of President Rafael Correa has stepped up operations along Ecuador’s northern border by dismantling more than 200 guerrilla camps in the last two years, Colombia’s El Pais reports.

But Colombia has its own grievances with Ecuador’s government. Data obtained from a FARC laptop during the raid raised concerns about links between the guerilla group and Ecuadorian officials. Former official José Ignacio Chauvin, a close aide to former Minister of State Gustavo Larrea, admitted that he met with FARC’s late second-in-command Raúl Reyes seven times, reports El Universo. An editorial in Ecuador’s Hoy proposes the creation of an independent commission to steer Ecuadorian politics away from the dark waters of drug-trafficking influence.

World Politics Review explains that after a year, “[B]oth sides’ failure to make progress on reconciliation may be politically motivated.” The article explains that, while Correa gains support by defending Ecuador’s sovereignty at all costs, Uribe has other matters to deal with; restoring diplomatic ties with his neighbor may not stand as a top priority.

Still, despite the controversy, economic ties appear to stand strong between the neighbors. Colombian exports to Ecuador increased 16.1 percent and Ecuadorian exports to Colombia rose 10.5 percent last year, totaling more than $2 billion in 2008, according to Colombia’s Commerce Ministry.

Tensions between the two Andean nations involved OAS mediation over the past year. In an interview with AS/COA Online, OAS Secretary General José Miguel Insulza likened his OAS role in Latin America as that of a bombero (firefighter) putting out fires across the region. As recently as February 26, Insulza visited Correa and urged reconcilation, to no avail.

A new article by the Economist looks back at raid and calls it a success in terms of inflicting permanent damage to the FARC, saying Colombia paid a small price. Colombia’s Defense Ministry reports on the massive defections facing the guerilla group. Read more about he FARC’s growing weakness and signs—such as hostage releases—that it may be changing course.

Read the article as published on the AS/COA website.